Comments on: Snapshot: Abhisit’s Popularity http://www.tumblerblog.com/2009/11/snapshot-abhisits-popularity/ A Thai political & current affairs blog Wed, 28 Jul 2010 19:41:01 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0 By: BKK Farang http://www.tumblerblog.com/2009/11/snapshot-abhisits-popularity/comment-page-1/#comment-44 BKK Farang Wed, 11 Nov 2009 04:34:54 +0000 http://www.tumblerblog.com/?p=114#comment-44 Thaksin's numbers look about right, given that his party won about 35% of the electorate in the last elections (if you combine the by elections with the general elections). However, Abhisit's numbers vary so much that I suspect that there is a lot of "noise" in those numbers. While people's opinions are swayed by events like the Songkran riots and Cambodian Advisor fiasco, I really can't see an almost 50% swing being accurate. As you said, even if the numbers are there, emotional swings are generally not long lasting. Thaksin’s numbers look about right, given that his party won about 35% of the electorate in the last elections (if you combine the by elections with the general elections). However, Abhisit’s numbers vary so much that I suspect that there is a lot of “noise” in those numbers. While people’s opinions are swayed by events like the Songkran riots and Cambodian Advisor fiasco, I really can’t see an almost 50% swing being accurate.

As you said, even if the numbers are there, emotional swings are generally not long lasting.

]]>